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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Ad. Demirspor

U S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Trabzonspor

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,9

3,6

Scored

2,6

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,87 xG 0,79

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 3. · Trabzonspor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	7	0	0	+15	+13.0	21
2	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+10	+10.1	19
3	Ad. Demirspor	7	4	2	1	+9	+4.0	14
4	Besiktas	7	4	1	2	+1	+4.2	13
5	Trabzonspor	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.6	12
6	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
7	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
8	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	-3	-1.9	11
9	Kayserispor	7	2	4	1	+2	-1.4	10
10	Antalyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.0	9
11	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
12	Sivasspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-0.5	7
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-3	-2.2	7
14	Ankaragücü	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.7	6
15	Karagumruk	7	1	3	3	-1	-4.7	6
16	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-7	-8.2	6
17	Pendikspor	7	0	4	3	-8	-4.1	4
18	Buyuksehyr	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.8	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
2	Ad. Demirspor	4	4	0	0	+10	+4.1	12
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
6	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
7	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
13	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
14	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
16	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
19	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
4	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
5	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
7	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
8	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	+1	-2.7	3
14	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-4	-6.6	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.