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Süper Lig

Referee: M Kalkavan

Ankaragücü

U T U U S

2–1

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 33%

14%

52%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

24% Possession 76%

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 16. · Fenerbahce 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	22	12	7	3	+19	43
2	Sivasspor	21	12	6	3	+16	42
3	Trabzonspor	20	12	5	3	+25	41
4	Alanyaspor	21	11	6	4	+21	39
5	Galatasaray	21	11	6	4	+18	39
6	Fenerbahce	21	11	5	5	+16	38
7	Besiktas	22	11	3	8	+6	36
8	Goztep	21	9	6	6	+5	33
9	Gaziantep	21	7	6	8	-4	27
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	20	6	6	8	+5	24
11	Denizlispor	22	6	6	10	-9	24
12	Rizespor	20	7	3	10	-9	24
13	Genclerbirligi	21	5	6	10	-9	21
14	Konyaspor	22	4	8	10	-13	20
15	Antalyaspor	21	4	7	10	-18	19
16	Ankaragücü	21	3	8	10	-19	17
17	Kasimpasa	21	4	4	13	-18	16
18	Kayserispor	22	3	6	13	-32	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	12	8	3	1	+18	27
2	Sivasspor	11	8	3	0	+14	27
3	Alanyaspor	11	7	3	1	+18	24
4	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	24
5	Trabzonspor	11	7	2	2	+17	23
6	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+17	23
7	Besiktas	11	7	2	2	+13	23
8	Rizespor	11	5	1	5	+1	16
9	Gaziantep	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Goztep	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Genclerbirligi	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	3	2	4	+5	11
13	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Konyaspor	11	1	5	5	-8	8
15	Denizlispor	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Ankaragücü	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Antalyaspor	10	1	4	5	-11	7
18	Kasimpasa	10	1	2	7	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Goztep	12	5	3	4	+2	18
3	Buyuksehyr	10	4	4	2	+1	16
4	Denizlispor	11	4	4	3	+0	16
5	Galatasaray	10	4	3	3	+5	15
6	Alanyaspor	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Sivasspor	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Fenerbahce	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	3	4	4	+0	13
10	Besiktas	11	4	1	6	-7	13
11	Konyaspor	11	3	3	5	-5	12
12	Antalyaspor	11	3	3	5	-7	12
13	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-9	12
14	Kasimpasa	11	3	2	6	-10	11
15	Ankaragücü	11	2	4	5	-9	10
16	Genclerbirligi	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Rizespor	9	2	2	5	-10	8
18	Kayserispor	12	1	2	9	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.