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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şimşek
Alanyaspor
T T U U S
6–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
43%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 8. · Hatayspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 22 15 6 1 +23 51
2 Konyaspor 21 12 6 3 +17 42
3 Fenerbahce 22 10 6 6 +8 36
4 Besiktas 22 10 5 7 +4 35
5 Hatayspor 21 11 2 8 +4 35
6 Buyuksehyr 21 10 4 7 +9 34
7 Ad. Demirspor 22 9 7 6 +5 34
8 Alanyaspor 21 9 5 7 +0 32
9 Kayserispor 22 8 7 7 +1 31
10 Gaziantep 21 9 4 8 -1 31
11 Sivasspor 22 7 9 6 +6 30
12 Karagumruk 22 8 6 8 -2 30
13 Galatasaray 21 7 6 8 -2 27
14 Giresunspor 22 7 5 10 -1 26
15 Goztep 22 6 6 10 -4 24
16 Antalyaspor 21 6 5 10 -10 23
17 Kasimpasa 21 5 6 10 -5 21
18 Altay 22 5 3 14 -13 18
19 Rizespor 21 5 3 13 -19 18
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 21 4 3 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
1–0 E. Akbaba
17′
2–0 Wilson Eduardo
E. Karaca
31′
Efkan Bekiroğlu 🟨
40′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 E. Akbaba
59′
60′
🔁 M. Boudjemaa
↦ O. Ergün
60′
🔁 E. Kaplan
↦ S. Adekugbe
Candeias 🔁
↦ Wilson Eduardo
63′
L. Fer 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroglu
63′
67′
🔁 Kahraba
↦ M. Kamara
70′
🟨 Fatih Kurucuk
4–0 E. Akbaba
João Novais
74′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ Davidson
75′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ C. Borja
75′
5–0 O. Aydın
Candeias
77′
6–0 O. Aydın
Candeias
80′
A. Gülay 🔁
↦ Juanfran
85′
86′
🔁 S. Baş
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
86′
🔁 I. Sackey
↦ D. Saint-Louis
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
28 Marafona G
24 Juanfran D
31 C. Borja D
20 F. Aksoy D
35 F. Bayır D
7 E. Karaca M
18 João Novais M
23 E. Akbaba M
11 E. Bekiroglu M
17 Wilson Eduardo F
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
21 Candeias
4 L. Fer
70 O. Aydın
75 T. Bingöl
3 A. Gülay
16 E. Aydoğan
30 Y. Karagöz
19 N. Milunović
25 M. Mevlja
1 S. Kırıntılı

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Hatayspor

4-4-2
31 A. Yiğiter G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
4 O. Ergün M
92 M. Diouf F
95 D. Saint-Louis F
20 M. Kamara M
Bench (10)
8 M. Boudjemaa
37 E. Kaplan
9 Kahraba
77 S. Baş
5 I. Sackey
99 B. Yıldırım
19 M. Mert
6 S. Falette
87 E. Fansa
33 Y. Boyar

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,47
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Şimşek · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.