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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Altay
T T T U T
1–3
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altay Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altay 11. · Ad. Demirspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 12 9 3 0 +13 30
2 Hatayspor 13 8 2 3 +13 26
3 Konyaspor 13 7 5 1 +11 26
4 Alanyaspor 13 7 3 3 +1 24
5 Karagumruk 13 6 4 3 +5 22
6 Buyuksehyr 13 7 0 6 +4 21
7 Galatasaray 12 6 3 3 +3 21
8 Besiktas 13 6 2 5 +4 20
9 Fenerbahce 12 6 2 4 +2 20
10 Ad. Demirspor 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Altay 12 5 1 6 -1 16
12 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Kayserispor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Antalyaspor 13 4 3 6 -5 15
15 Sivasspor 13 2 7 4 +1 13
16 Giresunspor 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 4 0 9 -11 12
18 Goztep 12 2 3 7 -7 9
19 Kasimpasa 13 2 3 8 -8 9
20 Rizespor 13 2 1 10 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altay Ad. Demirspor
19′
Y. Akgün 0–1
M. Vargas
Half-time 0–1
Ahmed Yasser Rayan 🔁
↦ S. Aka
46′
1–1 Ahmed Yasser Rayan
L. Kappel
48′
55′
B. Assombalonga 1–2
60′
D. Akintola 1–3
B. Stambouli
68′
🔁 Birkir Bjarnason
↦ M. Vargas
69′
🔁 M. Balotelli
↦ B. Assombalonga
72′
🟨 Samet Akaydın
80′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
Marco Paixão 🔁
↦ L. Kappel
84′
84′
🔁 M. Mimaroğlu
↦ D. Akintola
84′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ Y. Akgün
K. Karataş 🔁
↦ Thaciano
89′
89′
🔁 G. İnler
↦ B. Stambouli
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Altay

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
28 M. Akça D
14 T. Ünlü D
90 C. Karayel D
21 C. Pinares M
17 A. Biyogo Poko M
29 K. Thiam D
16 Thaciano M
5 S. Aka M
7 L. Kappel M
11 D. Bamba F
Bench (10)
9 Ahmed Yasser Rayan
19 Marco Paixão
20 K. Karataş
38 İ. Öztürk
10 M. Rodríguez
35 C. Topaloğlu
18 C. Özgener
8 Z. Yıldırım
88 Ö. Özkaya
89 E. Çelenk

Coach: M. Denizli

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
77 M. Vargas M
11 D. Akintola M
7 B. Assombalonga F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
67 Birkir Bjarnason
9 M. Balotelli
17 M. Mimaroğlu
4 S. Güler
88 G. İnler
20 T. Çamdal
2 T. Sanuç
6 K. Kanak
35 F. Kaplan
15 F. Ezeh

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,47
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.