Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Spjelkavik
Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
0,0
0,8
Conceded
4,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-4,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match report
Spjelkavik
Aalesund
⚽
S. Kilen
0–1
C. Braga
Half-time 0–2
⚽
C. Braga
0–2
S. Kilen
Full-time 0–2
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.