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Süper Lig

Referee: M Metoğlu

Kasimpasa

S U U T U

5–4

Full-time

Hatayspor

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 13%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

47%

Both score Ø 66%

63%

68%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

2,84 xG 1,59

69% Possession 31%

31 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kasimpasa 13. · Hatayspor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	20	17	3	0	+31	+21.9	54
2	Fenerbahce	20	15	3	2	+32	+24.2	48
3	Samsunspor	20	12	4	4	+15	+10.3	40
4	Eyüpspor	20	10	6	4	+14	+0.7	36
5	Goztep	20	10	4	6	+14	+11.7	34
6	Besiktas	20	8	8	4	+8	+8.2	32
7	Buyuksehyr	20	8	5	7	+5	+7.3	29
8	Rizespor	20	8	3	9	-9	+8.2	27
9	Gaziantep	20	7	5	8	-2	-5.1	26
10	Trabzonspor	19	6	7	6	+10	-0.6	25
11	Alanyaspor	20	6	7	7	-4	-1.1	25
12	Sivasspor	20	6	5	9	-8	-15.1	23
13	Kasimpasa	19	4	10	5	-6	-4.1	22
14	Antalyaspor	20	6	4	10	-17	-15.5	22
15	Konyaspor	20	5	6	9	-8	-8.4	21
16	Bodrumspor	20	4	4	12	-12	-4.3	16
17	Kayserispor	19	3	7	9	-20	-7.1	16
18	Hatayspor	19	1	7	11	-15	-13.2	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	20	2	2	16	-28	-17.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+14	+16.0	29
2	Goztep	10	9	1	0	+20	+11.1	28
3	Fenerbahce	9	8	0	1	+14	+10.8	24
4	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
5	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
6	Eyüpspor	9	6	2	1	+12	+4.1	20
7	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.7	20
8	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	4	1	+12	+8.2	19
10	Alanyaspor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-2	-4.5	17
12	Sivasspor	11	4	4	3	+3	-5.3	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Bodrumspor	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.6	11
15	Konyaspor	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
16	Hatayspor	11	1	5	5	-6	-5.4	8
17	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	0	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.6	20
4	Eyüpspor	11	4	4	3	+2	-3.4	16
5	Kasimpasa	10	3	6	1	-1	-6.1	15
6	Besiktas	10	2	6	2	+3	+0.7	12
7	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-7	-0.9	10
9	Konyaspor	11	3	1	7	-8	-9.5	10
10	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	4	5	-9	-4.9	7
12	Sivasspor	9	2	1	6	-11	-9.8	7
13	Goztep	10	1	3	6	-6	+0.6	6
14	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-11.2	5
16	Bodrumspor	10	1	2	7	-13	-3.7	5
17	Antalyaspor	10	1	2	7	-15	-11.0	5
18	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.