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Super League
Referee: F Polychronis
4–2
Full-time
Atromitos
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,22 xG 1,46
34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 15. · Atromitos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AEK 30 21 7 2 +37 +11.3 70
2 Olympiakos 30 19 8 3 +36 +13.1 65
3 PAOK 30 18 8 4 +34 +5.5 62
4 Panathinaikos 30 15 9 6 +18 +7.5 54
5 Levadeiakos 31 12 10 9 +12 -8.4 46
6 OFI Crete 30 13 3 14 -4 -6.9 42
7 Atromitos 33 10 11 12 +1 +1.1 41
8 Kifisia 34 7 14 13 -11 +2.0 35
9 Aris Thessalonikis 28 7 13 8 -6 -1.4 34
10 Aris 28 7 13 8 -6 34
11 Panetolikos 34 9 7 18 -15 -6.4 34
12 Volos NFC 31 9 6 16 -16 +1.4 33
13 Panserraikos 34 7 9 18 -40 -5.8 30
14 Larisa 34 5 13 16 -22 -7.7 28
15 Asteras Tripolis 33 5 11 17 -18 -5.1 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
1–0 K. Ketu
E. Gonzalez
10′
26′
🟨 Dimitrios Tsakmakis
Christos Almyras ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
32′
2–0 J. Bartolo
34′
3–0 N. Alho
39′
40′
🟨 Luka Gugeshashvili
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 G. Mitoglou
↦ D. Tsakmakis
4–0 C. Almyras
I. Sylla
47′
N. Kaltsas 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
56′
Munoz Mumo 🔁
↦ E. Gonzalez
56′
61′
🔁 E. Ukaki
↦ S. Tsiloulis
61′
🔁 P. Michorl
↦ S. Moutoussamy
P. Deligiannidis 🔁
↦ N. Alho
69′
S. Mitrovic 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
69′
69′
🔁 P. Tsantilas
↦ S. Pnevmonidis
Stefan Mitrović 🟨
73′
76′
🟨 Peter Michorl
R. Ivanov 🔁
↦ O. Alagbe
77′
82′
🔁 G. Tzovaras
↦ M. Baku
83′
G. Tzovaras 4–1
E. Ukaki
86′
S. Zuber 4–2
T. Tsingaras
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

3-4-3
1 N. Papadopoulos G
3 N. Sipcic D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
69 O. Alagbe
17 N. Alho M
10 E. Gonzalez M
68 C. Almyras M
4 I. Sylla M
7 J. Bartolo F
41 F. Macheda F
40 K. Ketu
Bench (12)
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
91 T. Kakadiaris
20 N. Kaltsas
2 R. Ivanov
32 J. Mendieta
27 A. Tereziou
64 P. Deligiannidis
8 T. Tzandaris
22 Munoz Mumo
96 A. Simoni
75 S. Mitrovic
26 O. M. Chidera

Coach: Georgios Antonopoulos

Atromitos

4-2-3-1
25 L. Gugeshashvili G
12 M. Mountes D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
44 D. Tsakmakis D
16 G. Papadopoulos D
92 S. Moutoussamy M
5 T. Tsingaras M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
77 S. Zuber M
10 S. Pnevmonidis M
32 M. Baku F
Bench (12)
1 L. Choutetsiotis
30 V. Athanasiou
21 J. Uronen
6 A. Karamanis
20 S. Ampartzidis
7 E. Ukaki
19 P. Tsantilas
9 T. van Weert
8 P. Michorl
99 G. Tzovaras
17 Quini
24 G. Mitoglou

Coach: Dusan Kerkez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,55
B
4,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Polychronis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.