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Super League

Referee: Dimitrios Moschou

Panetolikos

T T S U T

3–0

Full-time

Larisa

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Super League · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 21%

30%

11%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

40%

22%

Both score Ø 48%

40%

56%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panetolikos 10. · Larisa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	PAOK	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	AEK	9	6	1	2	+3	19
4	Levadeiakos	10	4	4	2	+11	16
5	Volos NFC	10	5	0	5	-3	15
6	Panathinaikos	9	3	4	2	+2	13
7	Kifisia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
8	Aris Thessalonikis	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Aris	9	3	3	3	-2	12
10	Panetolikos	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	Atromitos	10	2	3	5	-1	9
12	OFI Crete	9	3	0	6	-7	9
13	Larisa	9	1	4	4	-6	7
14	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	3	5	-4	6
15	Panserraikos	10	1	3	6	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	AEK	5	4	0	1	+3	12
4	Levadeiakos	6	3	2	1	+10	11
5	Volos NFC	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Panathinaikos	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	OFI Crete	5	2	0	3	+1	6
9	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Aris	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Kifisia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Panserraikos	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Panetolikos	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	Larisa	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Kifisia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Panetolikos	6	2	2	2	-3	8
4	Olympiakos	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Atromitos	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	AEK	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Aris	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Volos NFC	6	2	0	4	-4	6
10	Levadeiakos	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Larisa	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Panathinaikos	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	OFI Crete	4	1	0	3	-8	3
14	Panserraikos	5	0	2	3	-8	2
15	Asteras Tripolis	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.