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DBU Pokalen
Referee: S Putros
VSK Århus
T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Aarhus Fremad
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VSK Århus Aarhus Fremad
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,8
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match VSK Århus 28. · Aarhus Fremad 29.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstebro 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Skive 2 2 0 0 +8 6
4 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +10 3
8 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
9 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
10 B 1913 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Hørsholm-Usserød 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Solrød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 OKS 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 B 1909 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 SGI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Give Fremad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
45 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 BBB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 FB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
84 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
85 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
86 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
87 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
88 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
89 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
90 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
91 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VSK Århus Aarhus Fremad
P. Nemec 🟨
8′
1–0 P. Némec
35′
Half-time 1–0
T. Eskildsen 🔁
↦ B. Istrefi
46′
46′
🔁 Magnus Kirchheiner
↦ G. Junge
2–0 T. Eskildsen
57′
64′
J. Torp 2–1
67′
🔁 W. Stage
↦ F. Grube
67′
🔁 S. Buch
↦ J. Torp
67′
🔁 T. Hoffmeyer Beck
↦ A. Holvad
C. Mihigo 🔁
↦ C. Gandrup
70′
N. Have 🔁
↦ J. Yderholm
70′
R. Hansen 🔁
↦ P. Némec
77′
86′
🔁 G. Papian
↦ E. Junge
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

VSK Århus

1 K. Green-Pedersen
21 S. Søndergaard
8 F. Søvndahl
7 M. Rytter
22 J. Christensen
10 C. Gandrup
17 J. Yderholm
16 P. Némec
23 B. Istrefi
Bench (8)
19 T. Eskildsen
6 C. Mihigo
18 N. Have
14 R. Hansen
9 M. Zaar
11 E. Vestergaard
30 L. Miguel
3 C. Skou

Coach: J. Gjesing

Aarhus Fremad

30 C. Andersen
19 L. Wagner
34 S. Denius
15 J. Torp
16 A. Holvad
14 M. Berthelsen
20 G. Callø
2 E. Junge
6 F. Grube
10 E. Hauge
12 G. Junge
Bench (8)
27 Magnus Kirchheiner
4 W. Stage
22 S. Buch
23 T. Hoffmeyer Beck
18 G. Papian
1 B. Pená
13 N. Sejrup
32 D. Amundala

Coach: M. Dahm Kjærgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.