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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Hansen

Naestved

S S

0–3

Full-time

Silkeborg

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Naestved Silkeborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+4,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	BSF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
20	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+8	3
24	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
25	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
27	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
48	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
49	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	SGI	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
55	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
93	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
94	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
96	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	BSF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
15	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	SGI	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
56	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
57	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
58	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
59	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
60	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
61	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
17	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+8	3
18	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
19	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Naestved Silkeborg

17′

⚽ N. Helenius 0–1

K. Kusk

28′

⚽ A. Dahl 0–2

O. Sonne

Half-time 0–2

M. Agger 🔁

↦ B. Genesini

46′

F. Christensen 🔁

↦ M. Freitag

46′

64′

🔁 S. Tengstedt

↦ K. Kusk

64′

🔁 T. Adamsen

↦ N. Helenius

M. Kongstedt 🔁

↦ M. Haüser

66′

Marius Christiansen 🔁

↦ S. Dhaflaoui

66′

77′

🔁 A. Oggesen

↦ A. Dahl

77′

🔁 M. Kaalund

↦ R. Gojani

79′

⚽ T. Adamsen 0–3

M. Brink

A. Nymark 🔁

↦ J. Khemdee

80′

83′

🔁 R. Østrøm

↦ M. Brink

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Naestved

27 Mohammad Hassan

6 C. Enemark

5 M. Høst

33 B. Genesini

E. Olsson

2 J. Khemdee

10 S. Dhaflaoui

21 M. Haüser

20 M. Garly

M. Rajovic

29 M. Freitag

Bench (9)

25 M. Agger

9 F. Christensen

8 M. Kongstedt

30 Marius Christiansen

32 A. Nymark

12 C. Cordua

35 J. Haslund

1 N. Dannevang

3 Mads Christiansen

Coach: P. Bonde

Silkeborg

1 N. Larsen

J. Felix

29 L. Engel

O. Sonne

40 A. Busch

7 K. Kusk

R. Gojani

M. Brink

A. Klynge

18 A. Dahl

11 N. Helenius

Bench (8)

10 S. Tengstedt

23 T. Adamsen

24 A. Oggesen

17 M. Kaalund

3 R. Østrøm

20 T. Salquist

30 A. Andrésen

25 L. Klitten

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

30. Aug POK 4 years ago

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

J Hansen · 45 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Naestved

Silkeborg

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee