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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Spoon
6–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hercules 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Poortugaal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Dovo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Vvsb 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 OJC Rosmalen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Quick '20 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Achilles Veen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 SC Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Kolping Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 FC Lisse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Olde Veste '54 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Nijkerk Laar
1–0 O. El Ghazouani
8′
2–0 O. El Ghazouani
25′
3–0 T. Fonville
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Y. Op Heij
↦ C. Ouadi
51′
🔁 S. Peeters
↦ R. Spitters
4–0 R. Bakkenes
58′
S. Krant 🔁
↦ T. van Dijk
61′
J. Buitenhuis 🔁
↦ J. Geurtsen
61′
F. Nsingi 🔁
↦ C. Ibrahim
61′
R. Caldenhoven 🔁
↦ T. Fonville
61′
67′
🔁 J. Neijnens
↦ N. Stroek
67′
🔁 S. Boelaars
↦ S. van Meerwijk
5–0 F. Nsingi
72′
S. Fransberg 🔁
↦ R. Bakkenes
75′
78′
🔁 S. Jacobs
↦ W. Adriaens
6–0 F. Nsingi
79′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Sparta Nijkerk

1 M. Swaneveld
4 J. Makizodila
2 J. Geurtsen
14 T. van Dijk
18 K. Hugo
17 R. Bakkenes
20 V. van der Linde
7 C. Ibrahim
23 T. Fonville
49 K. Sterling
11 O. El Ghazouani
Bench (8)
6 S. Krant
10 J. Buitenhuis
19 F. Nsingi
22 R. Caldenhoven
21 S. Fransberg
13 N. Plug
15 M. Berhout
34 I. Bouwman

Coach: B. van Hunenstijn

Laar

7 W. Adriaens
11 J. Neijnens
18 C. Ouadi
1 M. Betting
14 S. van Meerwijk
4 P. Schonkeren
5 R. Spitters
3 N. Stroek
10 F. van Gansewinkel
17 L. de Jager
15 J. Beelen
Bench (8)
12 Y. Op Heij
13 S. Peeters
6 J. Neijnens
16 S. Boelaars
9 S. Jacobs
23 D. Creemers
22 K. Huijerjans
2 K. van Heugten

Coach: G. Peluso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.