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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

VVV Venlo

T U U U U

2–3

Full-time

Excelsior

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

27%

35%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

35%

62%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 11. · Excelsior 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	26	22	2	2	+42	68
2	Ajax	26	18	4	4	+44	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	26	17	5	4	+25	56
4	Feyenoord	26	12	6	8	+19	42
5	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+1	40
6	Zwolle	26	11	7	8	-1	40
7	Vitesse	23	10	7	6	+12	37
8	Heracles	27	10	6	11	-12	36
9	Heerenveen	25	9	8	8	-1	35
10	Den Haag	25	9	6	10	-5	33
11	VVV Venlo	26	7	12	7	-5	33
12	Excelsior	26	9	5	12	-6	32
13	NAC Breda	27	7	6	14	-13	27
14	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-5	26
15	Willem II	26	6	5	15	-16	23
16	Twente	27	4	6	17	-20	18
17	Sparta Rotterdam	26	4	6	16	-28	18
18	Roda	26	4	5	17	-31	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	1	0	+25	37
2	Ajax	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Heracles	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+10	26
5	Feyenoord	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Zwolle	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	13	4	7	2	+5	19
9	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
11	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	NAC Breda	13	5	1	7	-7	16
13	Willem II	13	4	3	6	+0	15
14	VVV Venlo	13	3	5	5	-4	14
15	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	2	7	-11	14
16	Twente	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Roda	13	3	3	7	-11	12
18	Excelsior	13	2	4	7	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+17	31
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	3	1	+15	30
3	Ajax	13	8	3	2	+21	27
4	Excelsior	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	VVV Venlo	13	4	7	2	-1	19
7	Feyenoord	13	5	3	5	+9	18
8	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Utrecht	12	5	2	5	-3	17
10	Zwolle	13	4	4	5	-8	16
11	Den Haag	12	4	3	5	-5	15
12	NAC Breda	14	2	5	7	-6	11
13	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-16	8
14	Groningen	13	1	4	8	-10	7
15	Heracles	13	1	3	9	-20	6
16	Twente	14	1	2	11	-14	5
17	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5
18	Sparta Rotterdam	13	0	4	9	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.