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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Brest
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
5,2
Scored
1,5
4,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 1,78
33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brest PSV Eindhoven
41′
🟨 Matteo Dams
1–0 J. Le Cardinal ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Ledezma
↦ R. Karsdorp
46′
🔁 J. Veerman
↦ M. Dams
Julien Le Cardinal 🟨
47′
Mathias Pereira Lage 🔁
↦ J. Le Cardinal
56′
Romain Del Castillo 🟨
58′
64′
🟨 Malik Tillman
67′
ℹ️ Joey Veerman
VAR: Penalty cancelled
A. Sima 🔁
↦ Mama Baldé
69′
73′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
73′
🔁 H. Lozano
↦ J. Bakayoko
Brendan Chardonnet 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 G. Til
↦ M. Tillman
86′
🟨 Joey Veerman
I. Salah 🔁
↦ K. Doumbia
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-1-2
40 M. Bizot G
25 J. Le Cardinal D
5 B. Chardonnet D
3 A. Ndiaye D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
6 E. Fernandes M
8 H. Magnetti M
9 K. Doumbia M
14 Mama Baldé F
10 R. Del Castillo F
Bench (9)
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
17 A. Sima
34 I. Salah
23 J. Amavi
50 N. Jauny
46 P. Irie
30 G. Coudert
11 A. Camblan
7 K. Lala

Coach: E. Roy

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
2 R. Karsdorp D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
32 M. Dams D
34 I. Saibari M
17 Mauro Júnior M
7 M. Tillman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (10)
37 R. Ledezma
23 J. Veerman
14 R. Pepi
27 H. Lozano
20 G. Til
4 A. Obispo
35 F. Oppegård
22 J. Schouten
16 J. Drommel
24 N. Schiks

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.