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Puchar Polski
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polonia Środa Olimpia Grudziądz
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
0%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
2,0
3,4
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
24 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Środa Olimpia Grudziądz
6′
🟨 B. Zbiciak
1–0 B. Bartkowiak
7′
M. Mackowiak 🟨
25′
35′
B. Czajka 1–1
36′
🟨 P. Zablonski
42′
M. Pawlowski 1–2
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 I. Tsyupa
↦ A. Klimczak
T. Cywka 🔁
↦ S. Sarbinowski
64′
P. Mikita 🔁
↦ M. Misztal
64′
66′
🔁 M. Mas
↦ K. Cichon
66′
🔁 K. Fietz
↦ M. Pawlowski
71′
🟨 S. Krocz
75′
🔁 T. Kaczmarek
↦ L. Moneta
75′
🔁 K. Jarzec
↦ S. Krocz
83′
F. Koperski 1–3
A. Krzos 🔁
↦ R. Steczynski
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Polonia Środa

1 P. Frackowiak
27 K. Budych
98 F. Nawrocki
6 J. De Amo
21 D. Koltanski
23 M. Stangel
47 R. Steczynski
29 M. Mackowiak
16 M. Misztal
10 B. Bartkowiak
24 S. Sarbinowski
Bench (9)
90 K. Rybarczyk
2 M. Walczak
4 J. Kledecki
15 M. Pienczak
22 P. Skrobosinski
25 A. Krzos
19 T. Cywka
11 I. Sukhenko
77 P. Mikita

Olimpia Grudziądz

71 S. Sobolewski
42 P. Zablonski
5 B. Czajka
25 B. Zbiciak
3 A. Klimczak
26 O. Sewerzynski
72 F. Koperski
10 K. Cichon
13 L. Moneta
69 M. Pawlowski
11 S. Krocz
Bench (9)
33 E. Budchan
7 T. Kaczmarek
9 M. Mas
15 P. Koncewicz-Zylka
16 K. Fietz
18 K. Jarzec
21 J. Bonikowski
77 R. Kobryn
93 I. Tsyupa

Coach: Artur Kosznicki

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.