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Puchar Polski

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Świt Skolwin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goczałkowice Zdrój B Stal Stalowa Wola
30′
J. Svec 0–1
1–1 J. Wuwer
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 M. Tyburczy
46′
🔁 M. Hebel
↦ L. Hrnciar
60′
🔁 P. Zaucha
↦ M. Tyburczy
60′
🔁 H. Tomalski
↦ J. Svec
60′
🔁 D. Wolny
↦ D. Lacki
B. Maroszek 🔁
↦ K. Mendrela
70′
M. Plonka 🔁
↦ D. Orlinski
80′
M. Fidziukiewicz 🔁
↦ N. Wroblewski
80′
93′
🟨 O. Nowak
97′
🔁 K. Radomski
↦ J. Niedbala
104′
🟨 L. Furtak
M. Gajda 🔁
↦ J. Wuwer
106′
T. Mras 🔁
↦ M. Rabczak
106′
2–1 M. Fidziukiewicz
110′
K. Bedzieszak 🟨
119′
3–1 F. Zagiel
120′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Goczałkowice Zdrój B

1 A. Valion
6 D. Zieba
18 K. Bedzieszak
20 L. Piszczek
7 M. Rostkowski
11 F. Zagiel
16 D. Orlinski
22 J. Wuwer
10 N. Wroblewski
8 M. Rabczak
15 K. Mendrela
Bench (9)
12 K. Wieczorkiewicz
13 D. Maska
5 J. Benek
3 M. Gajda
17 M. Plonka
19 T. Mras
9 M. Fidziukiewicz
4 B. Maroszek
14 M. Grygier

Stal Stalowa Wola

33 M. Smylek
2 B. Kukulowicz
4 L. Furtak
6 P. Zemlo
8 L. Hrnciar
9 D. Lacki
13 J. Svec
20 J. Niedbala
43 I. Fedejko
44 M. Tyburczy
99 O. Nowak
Bench (9)
1 J. Jankiewicz
10 M. Hebel
11 P. Zaucha
16 K. Lelek
17 H. Tomalski
19 D. Wolny
22 A. Lukawski
73 K. Radomski
77 J. Kendzia

Coach: Maciej Musial

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.