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Puchar Polski
Warta Poznan
T T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Polonia Bytom
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Polonia Bytom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
33%
80%
Both score Ø 40%
0%
80%
Average goals
1,7
5,0
Scored
0,3
3,4
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
8,0
Scored
1,0
7,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Warta Poznan 8. · Polonia Bytom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Świt Skolwin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Warta Poznan Polonia Bytom
34′
K. Wojtyra 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Lepczynski 🔁
↦ D. Avdeev
46′
S. Zalewski 🔁
↦ M. Stefaniak
46′
49′
🟨 L. Zielinski
53′
🟨 G. Szymusik
59′
🟨 T. Gajda
F. Walus 🔁
↦ M. Zylla
59′
S. Steblecki 🔁
↦ K. Dziedzic
59′
60′
🔁 J. Arak
↦ K. Wojtyra
60′
🔁 J. Apolinarski
↦ P. Stefanski
65′
🟨 J. Arak
M. Smoczynski 🔁
↦ M. Stanek
67′
71′
🔁 K. Michalski
↦ L. Zielinski
71′
🔁 K. Andrzejczak
↦ T. Tsirigotis
80′
🔁 A. Burkiewicz
↦ J. Sarmiento
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Warta Poznan

1 J. Kosiorek
4 T. Wojcinowicz
9 M. Stanek
13 J. Niedzielski
17 M. Stefaniak
19 K. Szymanek
20 K. Dziedzic
21 M. Zylla
24 D. Avdeev
29 K. Rychert
35 F. Jakubowski
Bench (9)
42 L. Przybylak
2 K. Lepczynski
J. Rychlik
7 F. Walus
8 K. Kumoch
F. Tonder
S. Steblecki
74 S. Zalewski
99 M. Smoczynski

Coach: Maciej Tokarczyk

Polonia Bytom

35 K. Mazur
14 G. Szymusik
30 O. Krzyzak
22 J. Calavera
16 P. Stefanski
29 K. Terlecki
18 T. Gajda
7 L. Zielinski
74 T. Tsirigotis
9 K. Wojtyra
19 J. Sarmiento
Bench (9)
1 A. Holewinski
4 M. Bakala
5 M. Matic
10 K. Michalski
11 K. Andrzejczak
21 A. Burkiewicz
23 J. Arak
27 J. Apolinarski
77 J. Szymanski

Coach: Patryk Czubak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.