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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Palermo
T T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Venezia
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 39/38 matches
Win Ø 48%
41%
55%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
59%
71%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 6. · Venezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 38 21 13 4 +31 76
2 Como 38 21 10 7 +18 73
3 Venezia 38 21 7 10 +23 70
4 Cremonese 38 19 10 9 +18 67
5 Catanzaro 39 18 9 12 +11 63
6 Palermo 39 16 11 12 +11 59
7 Sampdoria 39 16 9 14 +1 57
8 Brescia 39 12 15 12 +2 51
9 Cosenza 38 11 14 13 +5 47
10 Sudtirol 38 12 11 15 -2 47
11 Modena 38 10 17 11 -6 47
12 Reggiana 38 10 17 11 -7 47
13 Pisa 38 11 13 14 -3 46
14 Cittadella 38 11 13 14 -7 46
15 Ternana 39 11 11 17 -7 44
16 Spezia 38 9 17 12 -13 44
17 Bari 39 8 18 13 -11 42
18 Ascoli 38 9 14 15 -4 41
19 FeralpiSalo 38 8 9 21 -21 33
20 Lecco 38 6 8 24 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Venezia
Fabio Lucioni 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
62′
N. Pierini 0–1
J. Pohjanpalo
Salim Diakité 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Jay Idzes
64′
🟨 Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason
F. Di Mariano 🔁
↦ K. Lund
69′
C. Traorè 🔁
↦ E. Soleri
69′
71′
🟨 Antonio Candela
R. Insigne 🔁
↦ C. Gomes
74′
74′
🔁 F. Zampano
↦ B. Bjarkason
74′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ N. Pierini
76′
🟨 Gianluca Busio
77′
🟨 Nunzio Lella
83′
🔁 A. Dembélé
↦ M. Šverko
83′
🔁 C. Gytkjær
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ F. Ranocchia
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

5-3-2
1 S. Desplanches G
23 S. Diakité D
2 S. Graves D
5 F. Lucioni D
15 I. Marconi D
3 K. Lund D
8 J. Segre M
4 C. Gomes M
14 F. Ranocchia M
27 E. Soleri F
9 M. Brunori F
Bench (12)
10 F. Di Mariano
70 C. Traorè
11 R. Insigne
17 F. Di Francesco
31 G. Aurelio
7 L. Mancuso
25 A. Buttaro
20 A. Vasić
6 L. Štulac
53 L. Henderson
22 M. Pigliacelli
18 I. Nedelcearu

Coach: M. Mignani

Venezia

3-2-4-1
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
8 T. Tessmann M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
27 A. Candela F
6 G. Busio M
10 N. Pierini M
19 B. Bjarkason F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (11)
24 N. Lella
7 F. Zampano
99 M. Olivieri
25 A. Dembélé
9 C. Gytkjær
21 D. Cheryshev
12 Bruno
31 M. Ullmann
18 M. Jajalo
13 M. Modolo
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.