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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Holstein Kiel

S S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Bielefeld

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,34 xG 0,84

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 13. · Bielefeld 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
2	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.5	6
3	Braunschweig	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.1	6
4	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.8	4
5	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
9	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
10	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
12	Preußen Münster	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.5	1
13	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
15	Dresden	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.8	0
16	Nurnberg	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
17	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.6	0
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
2	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.6	3
3	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Braunschweig	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
8	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
9	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
10	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
11	Preußen Münster	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
12	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
13	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.3	0
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
2	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
3	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Braunschweig	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.3	3
5	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
6	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
7	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
8	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
11	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
12	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
13	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.6	0
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.