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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Blackburn
U U T U S
0–1
Full-time
Leicester
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 45/45 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
49%
73%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 2,52
50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 21. · Leicester 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 45 27 11 7 +48 +35.8 92
2 Ipswich 45 22 15 8 +30 +30.3 81
3 Millwall 43 22 11 10 +13 +7.7 77
4 Southampton 43 21 13 9 +28 +20.1 76
5 Middlesbrough 42 20 12 10 +18 +26.6 72
6 Wrexham 45 19 13 13 +4 -6.1 70
7 Derby 45 20 9 16 +9 +0.6 69
8 Hull 42 19 10 13 +6 -22.8 67
9 Norwich 45 19 8 18 +8 -2.4 65
10 Birmingham 45 17 12 16 +1 +13.4 63
11 Swansea 45 17 10 18 -4 -5.8 61
12 Preston 45 15 15 15 -5 -15.8 60
13 Bristol City 45 16 11 18 -2 -8.7 59
14 QPR 45 16 10 19 -9 -1.1 58
15 Sheffield United 45 17 6 22 -1 +14.1 57
16 Watford 45 14 15 16 -8 +1.7 57
17 Stoke 45 15 10 20 -3 -11.7 55
18 Portsmouth 45 14 12 19 -15 -3.2 54
19 West Brom 45 13 14 18 -9 +10.6 53
20 Charlton 45 13 14 18 -12 -16.0 53
21 Blackburn 45 13 13 19 -13 +1.2 52
22 Leicester 45 11 16 18 -11 -11.8 49
23 Oxford 45 11 14 20 -12 -6.0 47
24 Sheffield Weds 45 1 12 32 -61 -50.8 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Leicester
Half-time 0–0
T. Cantwell 🔁
↦ Y. Ribeiro
46′
T. Gardner-Hickman 🔁
↦ K. Montgomery
46′
54′
🟨 Ricardo Pereira
59′
🔁 J. Ayew
↦ L. Page
59′
🔁 S. Thomas
↦ J. Monga
Sean McLoughlin 🟨
62′
M. Litherland 🔁
↦ R. Alebiosu
71′
M. Jorgensen 🔁
↦ A. Forshaw
71′
72′
🔁 J. James
↦ P. Daka
73′
🔁 O. Aluko
↦ R. Pereira
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ M. Baradji
77′
78′
S. Mavididi 0–1
88′
🔁 K. Gray
↦ H. Souttar
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

3-5-2
22 B. Toth G
38 T. Atcheson D
15 S. McLoughlin D
20 E. Cashin D
2 R. Alebiosu M
31 K. Montgomery M
28 A. Forshaw M
24 M. Baradji M
4 Y. Ribeiro M
25 R. Morishita F
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
1 A. Pears
10 T. Cantwell
17 H. Carter
40 M. Litherland
14 D. De Neve
16 S. Wharton
29 M. Jorgensen
21 O. Afolayan
5 T. Gardner-Hickman

Coach: Damien Johnson

Leicester

4-2-3-1
1 J. Stolarczyk G
21 R. Pereira D
15 H. Souttar D
23 J. Vestergaard D
33 L. Thomas D
17 H. Choudhury M
8 H. Winks M
28 J. Monga M
25 L. Page M
10 S. Mavididi M
20 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
31 A. Begovic
9 J. Ayew
14 B. De Cordova-Reid
6 J. James
62 K. Gray
22 O. Skipp
39 S. Thomas
29 D. Mukasa
56 O. Aluko

Coach: Gary Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,53
B ✓
3,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.