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Champions League
Referee: A Ekberg
Olimpija Ljubljana
S S S U S
0–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpija Ljubljana Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olimpija Ljubljana Galatasaray
9′
⚽ K. Aktürkoğlu 0–1
B. Yılmaz
42′
🟨 Sérgio Oliveira
Half-time 0–1
N. Motika 🔁
↦ S. Fadida
46′
48′
⚽ D. Mertens 0–2
Nemanja Motika 🟨
54′
58′
ℹ️ Abdülkerim Bardakçı
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
🔁 L. Dubois
↦ K. Karataş
Pedro Lucas 🔁
↦ A. Bristrić
65′
75′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ D. Mertens
75′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ C. Bakambu
N. Gavrić 🔁
↦ I. Posavec
77′
A. Jakupović 🔁
↦ Rui Pedro
86′
M. Nukić 🔁
↦ S. Sešlar
86′
86′
🔁 H. Dervişoğlu
↦ B. Yılmaz
87′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
Aldin Jakupović 🟨
90′
91′
⚽ H. Dervişoğlu 0–3
K. Aktürkoğlu
93′
🟨 Halil Dervişoğlu
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Olimpija Ljubljana

5-4-1
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
16 A. Muhamedbegović D
3 David Sualehe D
99 Rui Pedro F
11 S. Fadida M
10 T. Elšnik D
21 I. Posavec M
19 S. Sešlar M
17 A. Bristrić F
Bench (12)
20 N. Motika
37 Pedro Lucas
33 N. Gavrić
77 A. Jakupović
9 M. Nukić
31 Ž. Mauricio
26 V. Janković
43 A. Krefl
6 M. Karamatić
15 M. Ristić
27 P. Estrada
22 D. Pintol

Coach: João Henriques

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
22 B. Kutlu M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
94 C. Bakambu F
Bench (12)
2 L. Dubois
11 Y. Akgün
9 M. Icardi
21 H. Dervişoğlu
23 K. Ayhan
59 C. Doğan
19 G. Güvenç
34 L. Torreira
6 F. Midtsjø
40 E. Bayram
3 Angeliño
81 H. Akman

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.