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League Cup
Referee: A Backhouse
Bolton
T T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Barrow
U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Barrow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

78% Possession 22%
16 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bolton Barrow
George Thomason 🟨
32′
43′
🟨 George Ray
1–0 Z. Ashworth ⚽
44′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Tyrell Warren
Carlos Mendes Gomes 🟨
60′
D. Charles 🔁
↦ C. Jerome
64′
66′
🔁 G. Garner
↦ D. Campbell
66′
🔁 K. Spence
↦ T. White
67′
🟨 Rory Feely
71′
🟨 Kian Spence
A. Morley 🔁
↦ P. Maghoma
73′
V. Adeboyejo 🔁
↦ D. Nlundulu
74′
K. Dempsey 🔁
↦ Carlos Gomes
74′
80′
🔁 E. Acquah
↦ C. Duffus
80′
🔁 D. Worrall
↦ R. Feely
80′
🔁 E. Newby
↦ J. Tiensia
G. Jones 🔁
↦ W. Forrester
84′
Jack Iredale 🟨
91′
Joel Coleman 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bolton

3-4-3
13 J. Coleman G
15 W. Forrester D
5 Ricardo D
3 J. Iredale D
12 J. Dacres-Cogley M
19 P. Maghoma M
4 G. Thomason M
26 Z. Ashworth M
11 D. Nlundulu F
35 C. Jerome F
7 Carlos Gomes F
Bench (9)
10 D. Charles
16 A. Morley
14 V. Adeboyejo
22 K. Dempsey
2 G. Jones
8 J. Sheehan
1 N. Baxter
25 D. John
27 R. Williams

Coach: I. Evatt

Barrow

5-3-2
1 P. Farman G
21 T. Warren D
24 R. Feely D
5 G. Ray D
6 N. Canavan D
29 J. Tiensia D
16 S. Foley M
13 T. White M
4 D. Campbell M
15 R. Gotts F
14 C. Duffus F
Bench (9)
10 G. Garner
8 K. Spence
20 E. Acquah
7 D. Worrall
11 E. Newby
37 S. Etaluku
12 J. Lillis
35 O. Bray
36 M. Reeve

Coach: P. Wild

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Backhouse · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.