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League Cup
Referee: C Hicks
Cheltenham
T T
0–2
Full-time
Birmingham
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cheltenham Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
4,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
2 Shots 22
0 Shots on target 12
0 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cheltenham Birmingham
24′
⚽ J. Bacuna 0–1
Curtis Davies 🟨
31′
32′
⚽ J. Bacuna 0–2
43′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
Half-time 0–2
L. Sercombe 🔁
↦ C. Thompson
46′
A. Keena 🔁
↦ R. Street
46′
D. Adshead 🔁
↦ J. Olayinka
46′
46′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ M. Oakley
Luke Southwood 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Jordan James
64′
🔁 S. Dembélé
↦ K. Miyoshi
Ellis Chapman 🟨
71′
Lewis Freestone 🟨
75′
T. King 🔁
↦ O. Hammond
81′
81′
🔁 B. Khela
↦ K. Anderson
81′
🔁 S. Cosgrove
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
A. Sambu 🔁
↦ L. Smith
87′
87′
🔁 G. Gardner
↦ J. Bacuna
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cheltenham

3-4-2-1
1 L. Southwood G
2 S. Long D
33 C. Davies D
6 L. Freestone D
22 L. Smith M
14 C. Thompson M
18 E. Chapman M
3 B. Williams M
17 J. Olayinka F
7 O. Hammond F
11 R. Street F
Bench (9)
8 L. Sercombe
10 A. Keena
16 D. Adshead
29 T. King
28 A. Sambu
4 T. Bradbury
15 W. Ferry
20 M. Harris
24 G. Horton

Coach: W. Elliott

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
1 N. Etheridge G
24 M. Oakley D
5 D. Sanderson D
26 K. Long D
23 M. Emmanuel D
7 J. Bacuna M
15 A. Chang M
19 J. James M
14 K. Anderson M
11 K. Miyoshi M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (9)
34 I. Šunjić
17 S. Dembélé
27 B. Khela
16 S. Cosgrove
20 G. Gardner
9 S. Hogan
49 R. Donovan
38 Z. Jeacock
6 K. Bielik

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Hicks · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.