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League Cup
Referee: S Allison
Wrexham
S S S U T
0–0
Full-time
Wigan
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wrexham Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,0
1,5
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
20 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wrexham Wigan
20′
🟨 Matthew Smith
45′
🟨 Chris Sze
Half-time 0–0
Anthony Forde 🟨
49′
J. Mendy 🔁
↦ C. McFadzean
58′
58′
🔁 T. Aasgaard
↦ J. Balagizi
58′
🔁 C. Wyke
↦ C. Sze
64′
🔁 C. Lang
↦ C. McManaman
T. O'Connor 🔁
↦ J. Davies
66′
Ollie Palmer 🟨
68′
E. Lee 🔁
↦ O. Palmer
73′
R. Barnett 🔁
↦ A. Forde
73′
S. Dalby 🔁
↦ J. Bickerstaff
73′
Ryan Barnett 🟨
75′
82′
🔁 L. Brennan
↦ T. Pearce
1–0 L. Young
121′
122′
C. Wyke 1–1
2–1 E. Lee
123′
124′
S. Humphrys 2–2
3–2 T. O'Connor
125′
126′
C. Hughes
penalty missed
4–2 S. Dalby
127′
128′
T. Aasgaard
penalty missed
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Wrexham

5-3-2
21 M. Howard G
14 A. Forde D
32 M. Cleworth D
4 B. Tozer D
15 E. O'Connell D
3 C. McFadzean D
30 J. Jones M
8 L. Young M
7 J. Davies M
9 O. Palmer F
27 J. Bickerstaff F
Bench (9)
19 J. Mendy
22 T. O'Connor
38 E. Lee
29 R. Barnett
18 S. Dalby
20 A. Cannon
16 B. Waters
12 B. Foster
11 L. McAlinden

Coach: P. Parkinson

Wigan

3-4-2-1
1 S. Tickle G
6 C. Hughes D
4 L. Morrison D
2 K. Watts D
26 B. Adeeko M
8 M. Smith M
24 J. Balagizi M
3 T. Pearce M
11 S. Humphrys F
20 C. McManaman F
22 C. Sze F
Bench (9)
10 T. Aasgaard
9 C. Wyke
19 C. Lang
33 L. Brennan
42 H. McHugh
41 J. Adams
12 B. Amos
34 L. Robinson
21 S. Smith

Coach: S. Maloney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Allison · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.