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League Cup
Referee: M Woods
0–2
Full-time
Lincoln
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notts County Lincoln
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Notts County Lincoln
J. Bostock 🔁
↦ G. Bajrami
11′
15′
🟨 Alistair Smith
23′
S. Roughan 0–1
P. O'Connor
Aden Baldwin 🟨
29′
41′
🟨 Paudie O’Connor
Jim O'Brien 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
48′
L. Sørensen 0–2
Aden Baldwin 🟨
56′
Aden Baldwin 🟥
56′
63′
🔁 B. House
↦ T. Walker
J. Jones 🔁
↦ D. Crowley
68′
70′
🔁 D. Duffy
↦ R. Hackett
71′
🔁 E. Hamilton
↦ E. Erhahon
O. Tipton 🔁
↦ R. Brindley
76′
J. Morias 🔁
↦ C. Scott
76′
82′
🔁 J. Benn
↦ L. Sørensen
82′
🔁 O. Gallagher
↦ A. Smith
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Notts County

4-4-2
1 S. Slocombe G
2 R. Brindley D
15 A. Baldwin D
4 K. Cameron D
23 A. Chicksen D
21 O. Adebayo-Rowling M
24 G. Bajrami M
6 J. O'Brien M
8 S. Austin M
7 D. Crowley F
19 C. Scott F
Bench (7)
16 J. Bostock
10 J. Jones
33 O. Tipton
27 J. Morias
9 M. Langstaff
5 C. Rawlinson
11 A. Nemane

Coach: L. Williams

Lincoln

3-4-2-1
1 L. Jensen G
22 T. Eyoma D
15 P. O'Connor D
23 S. Roughan D
2 L. Sørensen M
8 A. Smith M
6 E. Erhahon M
3 J. Brown M
7 R. Hackett F
14 D. Mândroiu F
19 T. Walker F
Bench (7)
18 B. House
17 D. Duffy
11 E. Hamilton
20 J. Benn
26 O. Gallagher
12 J. Wright
27 J. Makama

Coach: M. Kennedy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.