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League Cup
Referee: M Corlett
Harrogate Town
T S T
1–0
Full-time
Carlisle
T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Harrogate Town Carlisle
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Harrogate Town Carlisle
1–0 S. Folarin ⚽
M. Daly
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Maguire
↦ J. Gibson
46′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ J. Armer
46′
🔁 R. Edmondson
↦ S. Lavelle
46′
🔁 C. Guy
↦ D. McGeouch
J. Daly 🔁
↦ A. Odoh
69′
J. Muldoon 🔁
↦ S. Folarin
69′
71′
🔁 D. Butterworth
↦ L. Plange
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ J. Falkingham
78′
L. Gibson 🔁
↦ L. Sutton
78′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Harrogate Town

4-2-3-1
1 M. Oxley G
20 K. Ramsay D
6 W. Burrell D
3 J. Mattock D
23 M. Foulds D
4 J. Falkingham M
17 L. Sutton M
7 G. Thomson M
10 M. Daly M
9 A. Odoh M
12 S. Folarin F
Bench (9)
11 J. Daly
18 J. Muldoon
8 D. Cornelius
30 L. Gibson
33 E. Ilesanmi
15 A. O'Connor
14 T. Sims
13 L. Thomas
25 G. Horbury

Coach: S. Weaver

Carlisle

3-5-2
1 T. Holý G
26 B. Barclay D
5 S. Lavelle D
22 J. Mellish D
18 J. Ellis M
15 T. Charters M
10 A. McCalmont M
21 D. McGeouch M
3 J. Armer M
27 L. Plange F
7 J. Gibson F
Bench (9)
24 S. Maguire
19 J. Robinson
9 R. Edmondson
8 C. Guy
11 D. Butterworth
16 J. Harris
13 G. Breeze
17 C. Whelan
14 J. Garner

Coach: P. Simpson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Corlett · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.