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League Cup
Referee: L Doughty
Millwall
T T S T S
0–4
Full-time
Reading
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Millwall Reading
1′
K. Ehibhatiomhan 0–1
C. Vickers
10′
🟨 Harvey Knibbs
18′
🔁 M. Craig
↦ A. Mbengue
19′
🟨 Mamadi Camara
J. Bryan 🔁
↦ M. Wallace
20′
Ryan Leonard 🟨
25′
39′
🟨 Tivonge Rushesha
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 C. Savage
↦ L. Wing
46′
🔁 O. Azeez
↦ H. Knibbs
51′
K. Ehibhatiomhan 0–2
53′
🟨 Matthew Carson
G. Evans 🔁
↦ B. Mitchell
61′
A. Voglsammer 🔁
↦ D. McNamara
61′
A. Emakhu 🔁
↦ R. Esse
61′
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
61′
George Saville 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 H. Dean
↦ T. Rushesha
64′
🔁 B. Tuma
↦ C. Vickers
67′
C. Savage 0–3
W. Harding 🔁
↦ S. Hutchinson
77′
79′
🔁 N. Guinness-Walker
↦ M. Carson
George Evans 🟨
85′
Joe Bryan 🟨
86′
88′
Mamadi Camará 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Millwall

3-5-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
18 R. Leonard D
4 S. Hutchinson D
5 J. Cooper D
2 D. McNamara M
8 B. Mitchell M
23 G. Saville M
10 Z. Flemming M
3 M. Wallace M
25 R. Esse F
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (9)
15 J. Bryan
6 G. Evans
21 A. Voglsammer
22 A. Emakhu
7 K. Nisbet
45 W. Harding
27 C. Trueman
19 D. Watmore
24 C. De Norre

Coach: G. Rowett

Reading

4-4-2
31 C. Boyce-Clarke G
27 A. Mbengue D
24 T. Bindon D
32 N. Abbey D
47 M. Carson D
28 Mamadi Camará M
29 L. Wing M
40 T. Rushesha M
7 H. Knibbs M
15 K. Ehibhatiomhan F
42 C. Vickers F
Bench (9)
36 M. Craig
8 C. Savage
11 O. Azeez
6 H. Dean
48 B. Tuma
18 N. Guinness-Walker
25 J. Andrésson
21 D. Bouzanis
35 J. Senga-Ngoyi

Coach: Rubén Sellés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.