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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Millwall
T U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Birmingham
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 42/42 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
38%
48%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 4
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 5. · Birmingham 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 42 26 14 2 +48 92
2 Sheffield United 42 25 7 10 +29 82
3 Middlesbrough 41 21 8 12 +29 71
4 Luton 39 20 11 8 +17 71
5 Millwall 42 18 11 13 +9 65
6 West Brom 42 17 12 13 +9 63
7 Blackburn 41 19 6 16 -2 63
8 Preston 42 17 11 14 -6 62
9 Norwich 42 17 10 15 +8 61
10 Sunderland 41 16 12 13 +9 60
11 Watford 42 15 14 13 +4 59
12 Coventry 40 15 13 12 +8 58
13 Swansea 42 15 11 16 -2 56
14 Bristol City 43 13 14 16 -3 53
15 Hull 42 13 14 15 -9 53
16 Stoke 43 14 10 19 +4 52
17 Birmingham 42 13 11 18 -8 50
18 Reading 42 13 9 20 -19 48
19 Rotherham 42 10 16 16 -10 46
20 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 -19 44
21 QPR 42 11 10 21 -27 43
22 Cardiff 41 11 9 21 -16 42
23 Wigan 43 9 13 21 -28 40
24 Blackpool 43 9 11 23 -25 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Birmingham
28′
L. Jutkiewicz 0–1
R. Khadra
34′
🟨 Krystian Bielik
38′
🔁 N. Etheridge
↦ J. Ruddy
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Kevin Long
61′
🔁 J. Graham
↦ R. Khadra
D. Watmore 🔁
↦ A. Voglsammer
75′
C. Styles 🔁
↦ G. Saville
75′
78′
🔁 S. Hogan
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
79′
🔁 J. James
↦ J. Bellingham
79′
🔁 H. Mejbri
↦ T. Chong
M. Bennett 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
84′
R. Esse 🔁
↦ O. Burke
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
2 D. McNamara D
4 S. Hutchinson D
5 J. Cooper D
11 S. Malone D
8 B. Mitchell M
23 G. Saville M
7 O. Burke M
10 Z. Flemming M
21 A. Voglsammer M
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
19 D. Watmore
17 C. Styles
20 M. Bennett
50 R. Esse
33 B. Bialkowski
6 G. Evans
16 J. Shackleton

Coach: G. Rowett

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
21 J. Ruddy G
2 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
26 K. Long D
3 G. Friend D
7 J. Bacuna M
31 K. Bielik M
27 J. Bellingham M
17 R. Khadra M
18 T. Chong M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
1 N. Etheridge
11 J. Graham
9 S. Hogan
19 J. James
6 H. Mejbri
12 H. Dean
23 M. Emmanuel

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,53
B ✓
5,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.