Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Coventry
Ipswich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | +31 | +20.2 | 51 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +6 | +5.5 | 39 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +15 | +18.9 | 38 |
| 4 |
Preston
|
23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | +7 | -4.5 | 37 |
| 5 |
Bristol City
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +7 | -0.2 | 36 |
| 6 |
Millwall
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | -4 | +0.8 | 36 |
| 7 |
Watford
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +4 | +6.8 | 35 |
| 8 |
Hull
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +3 | -10.3 | 35 |
| 9 |
QPR
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 | +3.0 | 35 |
| 10 |
Stoke
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +7 | -4.2 | 34 |
| 11 |
Derby
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +1 | -6.2 | 32 |
| 12 |
Wrexham
|
23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | +2 | -6.7 | 31 |
| 13 |
Leicester
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -1 | -6.2 | 31 |
| 14 |
Southampton
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +4 | +10.3 | 30 |
| 15 |
Birmingham
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +1 | +11.0 | 30 |
| 16 |
West Brom
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -5 | +2.8 | 28 |
| 17 |
Charlton
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -6 | -9.6 | 27 |
| 18 |
Blackburn
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -4 | +7.5 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sheffield United
|
23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -5 | +8.2 | 26 |
| 20 |
Swansea
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -7 | -7.2 | 26 |
| 21 |
Oxford
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -8 | -6.4 | 22 |
| 22 |
Portsmouth
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -10 | -6.4 | 22 |
| 23 |
Norwich
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -9 | -9.0 | 21 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Weds
|
22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -27 | -18.1 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Rushworth
G
M. van Ewijk
D
L. Kitching
D
M. Brau
D
V. Torp
M
M. Grimes
M
T. Sakamoto
M
J. Rudoni
M
E. Mason-Clark
M
Coach: Frank Lampard
C. Walton
G
D. Furlong
D
D. O'Shea
D
C. Kipre
D
J. Greaves
D
S. W. Egeli
M
M. Nunez
M
J. Clarke
M
I. Azon
F
Coach: Kieran McKenna
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Coventry
Swansea
Southampton
Coventry
Coventry
Bristol City
Preston
Coventry
Ipswich
Coventry
Anthony Backhouse · 17 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.