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Championship
Referee: Anthony Backhouse
Coventry
T U S U S
0–2
Full-time
Ipswich
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 54%
65%
43%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 1,14
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 1. · Ipswich 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 23 15 6 2 +31 +20.2 51
2 Middlesbrough 21 11 6 4 +6 +5.5 39
3 Ipswich 23 10 8 5 +15 +18.9 38
4 Preston 23 9 10 4 +7 -4.5 37
5 Bristol City 23 10 6 7 +7 -0.2 36
6 Millwall 22 10 6 6 -4 +0.8 36
7 Watford 23 9 8 6 +4 +6.8 35
8 Hull 21 10 5 6 +3 -10.3 35
9 QPR 23 10 5 8 -2 +3.0 35
10 Stoke 23 10 4 9 +7 -4.2 34
11 Derby 23 8 8 7 +1 -6.2 32
12 Wrexham 23 7 10 6 +2 -6.7 31
13 Leicester 23 8 7 8 -1 -6.2 31
14 Southampton 22 8 6 8 +4 +10.3 30
15 Birmingham 23 8 6 9 +1 +11.0 30
16 West Brom 23 8 4 11 -5 +2.8 28
17 Charlton 22 7 6 9 -6 -9.6 27
18 Blackburn 22 7 5 10 -4 +7.5 26
19 Sheffield United 23 8 2 13 -5 +8.2 26
20 Swansea 23 7 5 11 -7 -7.2 26
21 Oxford 23 5 7 11 -8 -6.4 22
22 Portsmouth 22 5 7 10 -10 -6.4 22
23 Norwich 23 5 6 12 -9 -9.0 21
24 Sheffield Weds 22 1 7 14 -27 -18.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Ipswich
Liam Kitching 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🟨 Jack Taylor
72′
J. Clarke 0–1
M. Nunez
J. Allen 🔁
↦ V. Torp
75′
J. Eccles 🔁
↦ J. Rudoni
75′
78′
🔁 W. Burns
↦ S. W. Egeli
78′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ I. Azon
E. Simms 🔁
↦ H. Wright
79′
83′
W. Burns 0–2
M. Nunez
87′
🔁 J. Cajuste
↦ J. Taylor
87′
🔁 J. Philogene
↦ J. Clarke
88′
🟨 Darnell Furlong
94′
🔁 C. Humphreys
↦ M. Nunez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
26 L. Woolfenden D
15 L. Kitching D
33 M. Brau D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
7 T. Sakamoto M
5 J. Rudoni M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
8 J. Allen
20 K. Kesler-Hayden
9 E. Simms
22 J. Latibeaudiere
21 J. Bidwell
54 K. Andrews
28 J. Eccles
41 C. Perry

Coach: Frank Lampard

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
28 C. Walton G
19 D. Furlong D
26 D. O'Shea D
4 C. Kipre D
24 J. Greaves D
5 A. Matusiwa M
14 J. Taylor M
8 S. W. Egeli M
32 M. Nunez M
47 J. Clarke M
31 I. Azon F
Bench (9)
1 A. Palmer
15 A. Young
18 B. Johnson
30 C. Humphreys
7 W. Burns
12 J. Cajuste
20 K. McAteer
11 J. Philogene
29 C. Akpom

Coach: Kieran McKenna

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,35
B ✓
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anthony Backhouse · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.