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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Leicester

U T T U S

2–1

Full-time

Coventry

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Coventry

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 1,86

65% Possession 35%

20 Shots 20

7 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
8	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
10	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
13	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
16	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
17	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
18	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
8	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
9	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
6	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
7	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
8	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
9	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.