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Championship
Referee: Robert Madley
Portsmouth
S U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Wrexham
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portsmouth Wrexham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
46%
77%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,49 xG 0,73
47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portsmouth 21. · Wrexham 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 14 9 4 1 +26 +16.4 31
2 Stoke 14 8 3 3 +12 -0.3 27
3 Preston 14 7 4 3 +6 +0.6 25
4 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 +5 +3.1 25
5 Millwall 14 7 3 4 -3 +1.4 24
6 Charlton 14 6 5 3 +5 -0.4 23
7 Bristol City 14 6 4 4 +4 +1.0 22
8 Hull 14 6 4 4 +1 -8.9 22
9 Birmingham 14 6 3 5 +4 +8.8 21
10 Ipswich 13 5 5 3 +7 +10.7 20
11 Derby 14 5 5 4 +0 -5.5 20
12 Watford 14 5 4 5 +1 +1.8 19
13 Leicester 14 4 6 4 +1 -2.8 18
14 West Brom 14 5 3 6 -3 -0.5 18
15 QPR 14 5 3 6 -6 +0.8 18
16 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 +0 -4.8 17
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 -1 -5.1 17
18 Blackburn 13 5 1 7 -4 +4.5 16
19 Southampton 13 3 5 5 -5 +3.0 14
20 Oxford 14 3 4 7 -5 -3.0 13
21 Portsmouth 13 3 4 6 -7 -5.3 13
22 Norwich 14 2 3 9 -8 -4.6 9
23 Sheffield United 14 3 0 11 -15 -1.2 9
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 5 8 -15 -9.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portsmouth Wrexham
Andre Dozzell 🟨
11′
J. Williams 🔁
↦ C. Ogilvie
27′
41′
🟨 Ben Sheaf
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 G. Dobson
↦ B. Sheaf
69′
🟨 Issa Kaboré
Colby Bishop 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Dan Scarr
Z. Swanson 🔁
↦ T. Devlin
77′
77′
🔁 G. Thomason
↦ L. O'Brien
77′
🔁 N. Broadhead
↦ J. Windass
86′
🔁 S. Smith
↦ K. Moore
M. Pack 🔁
↦ L. Le Roux
90′
Josh Murphy 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Portsmouth

3-4-2-1
26 J. Bursik G
5 R. Poole D
4 J. Knight D
17 I. Bowat D
24 T. Devlin M
16 L. Le Roux M
21 A. Dozzell M
3 C. Ogilvie M
36 C. Chaplin F
23 J. Murphy F
9 C. Bishop F
Bench (9)
30 B. Killip
2 J. Williams
22 Z. Swanson
14 H. Matthews
7 M. Pack
8 J. Swift
11 F. Bianchini
47 Yang Min-Hyuk
25 M. Kirk

Coach: John Michael Lewis Mousinho

Wrexham

3-4-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
4 M. Cleworth D
24 D. Scarr D
5 D. Hyam D
12 I. Kabore M
37 M. James M
18 B. Sheaf M
13 L. Cacace M
27 L. O'Brien F
10 J. Windass F
19 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
25 C. Burton
2 C. Doyle
47 R. Longman
29 R. Barnett
14 G. Thomason
15 G. Dobson
33 N. Broadhead
9 R. Hardie
28 S. Smith

Coach: Philip John Parkinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U ✓
3,22
B
2,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.