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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Piotr Lasyk
Wisla
T U S T U
2–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S S S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 77%
86%
67%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
24 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla 5. · Jagiellonia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 5 1 0 +7 +6.4 16
2 Legia 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.6 15
3 Gornik Zabrze 6 5 0 1 +5 +0.6 15
4 Jagiellonia 6 4 0 2 +3 +1.9 12
5 Wisla 7 3 2 2 +2 +4.5 11
6 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
7 GKS Katowice 6 3 0 3 +3 -1.3 9
8 Pogon Szczecin 6 2 3 1 +3 -1.1 9
9 Korona Kielce 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.9 9
10 Zaglebie 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.6 9
11 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -2 +3.2 8
12 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
13 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
14 Slask Wroclaw 7 1 3 3 -2 -0.1 6
15 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
16 Wisla Plock 6 1 2 3 -7 -0.9 5
17 Wieczysta Krakow 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 7 1 0 6 -7 -7.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Jagiellonia
1–0 Angel·Rodado
Marko Bozic
14′
45′
🔁 Aleksandar·Cirkovic
↦ Jeremy Agbonifo
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 Youssef Sylla
↦ Nik Prelec
59′
🔁 Hampus Finndell
↦ Ferslev Anders Klynge
Frederico Duarte 🔁
↦ Thody Elie Youan
59′
72′
🔁 Rodrigo Conceição
↦ Norbert Wojtuszek
Darijo Grujcic ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
80′
82′
🔁 Sergio Lozano
↦ Jesús Imaz
2–0 Angel·Rodado
87′
Rafal Mikulec 🔁
↦ Julius Ertlthaler
90′
92′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wisla

4-2-3-1
1 M. Łubik G
34 R. Giger D
6 A. Uryga D
29 D. Grujčić D
52 J. Krzyżanowski D
7 J. Ertlthaler M
12 J. Igbekeme M
27 É. Youan M
41 K. Duda M
17 M. Božić M
9 Ángel Rodado F
Bench (9)
97 W. Biedrzycki
8 Marc Carbó
10 Frederico Duarte
50 M. Kutwa
13 M. Maisonneuve
23 Víctor Meseguer
4 R. Mikulec
93 Bartosz Neugebauer
32 Oliwier Plawinski

Coach: M. Jop

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
5 Bernardo Vital D
44 A. Konstantopoulos D
20 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
19 A. Klynge M
10 J. Agbonifo M
11 Jesús Imaz M
7 K. Szmyt M
99 N. Prelec F
Bench (12)
14 H. Finndell
72 K. Jóźwiak
21 Sergio Lozano
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
1 M. Perchel
2 C. Polak
3 Dušan Stojinović
17 Y. Sylla
32 A. Ćirković
8 D. Drachal
27 Rodrigo Conceição
85 Eryk Kozlowski

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,62
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
4,85
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,30
O3,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
1,56
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,45
BLS nei ✓
2,51

Referee

Piotr Lasyk · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.