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LaLiga2

Burgos

S S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Ceuta

S T T T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

7 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 13. · Ceuta 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.4	10
2	Eibar	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.4	9
3	Sabadell	4	2	2	0	+2	+3.5	8
4	Leganes	4	2	2	0	+2	-2.0	8
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.9	7
6	Celta B	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.2	7
7	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.5	7
8	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.8	7
9	Granada	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
10	Las Palmas	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
11	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.0	7
12	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.3	6
13	Burgos	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.8	5
14	Sociedad B	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.0	5
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	+0	+3.1	5
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.6	4
17	Andorra	4	1	0	3	+0	+4.6	3
18	Cadiz	4	0	3	1	-1	+2.4	3
19	Cordoba	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.0	3
20	Eldense	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.9	2
21	Albacete	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0
22	Ceuta	4	0	0	4	-11	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
2	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
3	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.0	6
4	Sabadell	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.1	6
5	Girona	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.4	4
6	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.2	4
7	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
8	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
10	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+3	+3.4	3
11	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
12	Celta B	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.2	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
14	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
16	Cordoba	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
17	Eldense	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.3	2
18	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
19	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
20	Sociedad B	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
21	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.0	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
2	Leganes	3	1	2	0	+1	-2.6	5
3	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
4	Celta B	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
5	Sociedad B	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
6	Granada	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.1	4
7	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
8	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
11	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
12	Sabadell	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.4	2
13	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
14	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
16	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.6	1
17	Cordoba	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.7	0
18	Almeria	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
19	Andorra	2	0	0	2	-3	+1.2	0
20	Albacete	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.4	0
21	Eldense	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0
22	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-7	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.