La Liga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sevilla
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +15 | +9.4 | 12 |
| 2 |
Alaves
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | +2.7 | 10 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | +6.1 | 9 |
| 4 |
Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -1.4 | 9 |
| 5 |
La Coruna
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | -1.7 | 8 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | -0.6 | 7 |
| 7 |
Ath Madrid
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | -2.0 | 7 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +2.9 | 7 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.4 | 7 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | -1.1 | 6 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | +0.2 | 5 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -1.4 | 4 |
| 13 |
Santander
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 | 4 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -3.6 | 4 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -3.1 | 4 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -4.0 | 3 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +2.2 | 2 |
| 18 |
Malaga
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | -1.9 | 2 |
| 19 |
Elche
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | -3.5 | 1 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | +0.3 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
O. Vlachodimos
G
Juan Iglesias
D
Andrés Castrín
D
Kike Salas
D
G. Suazo
D
M. Sierra
M
L. Agoumé
M
Y. Fofana
M
Félix Correia
M
L. Stassin
F
Isaac
F
Coach: Luis García
S. Dimitrievski
G
Arnau Martínez
D
Pepelu
D
César Tárrega
D
José Gayà
D
David Otorbi
M
A. Dieng
M
F. Ugrinic
M
R. Sato
M
Javi Guerra
F
A. Danjuma
F
Coach: Carlos Corberán
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Espanol
Sevilla
Sevilla
Ath Madrid
Ath Bilbao
Sevilla
Sevilla
Vallecano
Celta
Sevilla
M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.