The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Montpellier
Pau FC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Etienne
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 |
Annecy
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |
Metz
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |
Montpellier
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 8 |
| 6 |
Red Star
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Nancy
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Rodez
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Sochaux
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 |
Dunkerque
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Pau FC
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Boulogne
|
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 |
Clermont
|
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |
Grenoble
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Laval
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |
Dijon
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Ngapandouetnbu
G
Naoufel El Hannach
D
J. Laporte
D
Y. Mouanga
D
D. Meddah
D
T. Sainte-Luce
M
N. Pays
M
Gregory Ayem
M
F. Tardieu
M
N. Mukiele
M
M. Camara
F
Coach: Z. Camara
B. Maubleu
G
T. Pouilly
D
S. Basse
D
A. Briançon
D
G. Paquiez
D
A. Abdallah
D
C. Fall
M
J. Benet
M
L. Rajot
M
B. Leye
F
H. Benali
F
Coach: Thierry Debes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Etienne
Montpellier
Montpellier
Boulogne
Dunkerque
Montpellier
Nancy
Montpellier
Montpellier
Dijon
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.