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Superligaen

Referee: Svend Funder

Horsens

U T T S S

2–3

Full-time

Viborg

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

80%

20%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,4

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,83 xG 1,92

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Horsens 6. · Viborg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	5	4	1	0	+6	+0.1	13
2	Viborg	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.2	10
3	Nordsjaelland	4	3	1	0	+5	+6.9	10
4	Midtjylland	4	3	1	0	+3	+1.9	10
5	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.9	9
6	Horsens	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.5	7
7	Odense	5	1	1	3	-2	-1.0	4
8	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.2	4
9	Randers FC	5	1	1	3	-4	-4.2	4
10	Aarhus	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	-4	+3.8	2
12	Sonderjyske	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.1	9
2	Brondby	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.8	9
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
4	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+2	+5.1	6
5	Horsens	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.4	4
6	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
7	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
8	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
9	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
10	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Aarhus	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.1	6
2	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.8	4
3	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
4	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
5	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
6	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
7	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
8	Odense	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.2	1
9	Silkeborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Randers FC	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-4	+2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.