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Puchar Polski
Referee: K Arys
Rakow
T T T U U
3–3
Full-time
GKS Katowice
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 7. · GKS Katowice 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 5 3 1 1 +7 10
4 GKS Katowice 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Polonia Bytom 4 3 0 1 +12 9
6 Avia Świdnik 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 Rakow 3 3 0 0 +5 9
8 Widzew Lodz 4 2 2 0 +2 8
9 Korona Kielce 3 2 1 0 +4 7
10 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
11 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 +2 6
12 Lechia Gdansk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Slask Wroclaw 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Wisla 3 2 0 1 -1 6
16 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
18 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Pogon Szczecin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow GKS Katowice
21′
E. Jirka 0–1
B. Nowak
41′
A. Jedrych 0–2
Half-time 0–2
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ I. Lopez
46′
1–2 J. Brunes
J. C. Silva
47′
2–2 B. Racovitan
M. Ameyaw
49′
56′
🔁 M. Kuusk
↦ L. Klemenz
63′
🔁 E. Markovic
↦ M. Wdowiak
63′
🔁 K. Lukasiak
↦ D. Rasak
63′
🔁 A. Zrelak
↦ I. Shkurin
3–2 L. Diaby-Fadiga
67′
I. Brusberg 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
76′
80′
🔁 B. Galan
↦ M. Wasielewski
F. Tudor 🔁
↦ M. Ameyaw
86′
L. Rocha 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
86′
Z. Arsenic 🔁
↦ P. Dawidowicz
86′
90′
A. Zrelak 3–3
E. Markovic
3–4 A. Czerwinski
own goal
112′
116′
E. Markovic 3–5
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Rakow

48 O. Zych
27 P. Dawidowicz
25 B. Racovitan
4 S. Svarnas
19 M. Ameyaw
23 K. Struski
6 O. Repka
20 J. C. Silva
9 P. Makuch
10 I. Lopez
18 J. Brunes
Bench (9)
29 W. Zolneczko
2 A. Mosor
5 M. Bulat
7 F. Tudor
17 L. Rocha
24 Z. Arsenic
35 M. Ilenic
39 I. Brusberg
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

GKS Katowice

1 D. Kudla
30 A. Czerwinski
4 A. Jedrych
6 L. Klemenz
97 E. Jirka
26 D. Rasak
22 S. Milewski
23 M. Wasielewski
70 M. Wdowiak
27 B. Nowak
80 I. Shkurin
Bench (9)
34 W. Pankowski
2 M. Kuusk
8 B. Galan
10 M. Wedrychowski
11 A. Blad
14 M. Olsen
15 E. Markovic
19 K. Lukasiak
99 A. Zrelak

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.