Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +7 | -0.2 | 18 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | +2.5 | 17 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +4 | -2.5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Wisla Plock
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | +6.2 | 16 |
| 5 |
Korona Kielce
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | -2.1 | 15 |
| 6 |
Lech Poznan
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | +6.0 | 14 |
| 7 |
Legia
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | +3.6 | 12 |
| 8 |
Radomiak Radom
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -0.1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -2.9 | 11 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3 | -1.8 | 10 |
| 11 |
Widzew Lodz
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +1 | +2.2 | 10 |
| 12 |
Motor Lublin
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -1.0 | 10 |
| 13 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | +2.0 | 10 |
| 14 |
Nieciecza
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -0.2 | 9 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | -3.8 | 9 |
| 16 |
Rakow
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 17 |
GKS Katowice
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | -6.8 | 7 |
| 18 |
Piast Gliwice
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | -0.7 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie
Wisla Plock
Legia
Paweł Raczkowski · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.