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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
Utrecht
U U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Heracles
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,34 xG 0,88
48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +5 +0.5 3
2 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +5 +1.4 3
3 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.1 3
4 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.4 3
5 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.2 3
6 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.3 3
7 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
8 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
9 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.7 1
10 Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
11 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.3 0
12 Telstar 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.4 0
13 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.2 0
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.1 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -5 -0.5 0
16 Excelsior 1 0 0 1 -5 -1.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -25 Heracles – Utrecht 2–0 24. Jan -25 Heracles – Utrecht 1–1 8. Nov -24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 23. Feb -24 Utrecht – Heracles 1–0 16. Sep -23 Heracles – Utrecht 1–3

Match report

Utrecht Heracles
14′
🔁 T. Bruns
↦ M. Engels
1–0 G. Zechiel ⚽
Y. Cathline
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Bryan Limbombe
M. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Blake
46′
David Min 🟨
58′
58′
🔁 J. Reine-Adelaide
↦ J. Zamburek
2–0 D. Min ⚽
62′
64′
🔁 Y. Borges Sanches
↦ D. van der Kust
64′
🔁 L. Kulenovic
↦ T. van Gilst
66′
🟨 Jizz Hornkamp
3–0 V. Jensen ⚽
Y. Cathline
70′
D. Murkin 🔁
↦ Y. Cathline
74′
D. de Wit 🔁
↦ V. Jensen
74′
4–0 D. de Wit ⚽
D. Murkin
79′
N. Ohio 🔁
↦ D. Min
80′
C. Bozdogan 🔁
↦ A. Engwanda
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
15 A. Blake M
7 V. Jensen M
10 Y. Cathline M
9 D. Min F
Bench (12)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
23 N. Vesterlund
40 M. Didden
5 K. Finnsson
55 D. Murkin
8 C. Bozdogan
20 D. de Wit
6 D. van den Berg
11 N. Ohio
26 M. Jonathans
22 M. Rodriguez

Coach: Ron Jans

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 F. de Keijzer G
3 J. Wieckhoff D
4 D. Mirani D
24 I. Mesik D
15 D. van der Kust D
13 J. Zamburek M
32 S. Scheperman M
7 B. Limbombe M
17 T. van Gilst M
8 M. Engels M
9 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (12)
16 T. Jansink
30 R. Mantel
2 M. Benita
27 J. Tijink
23 M. te Wierik
5 J. Bruijn
10 T. Bruns
11 J. Reine-Adelaide
26 D. van Kaam
21 Y. Borges Sanches
19 L. Kulenovic
20 D. van Oorschot

Coach: Ernest Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
🔒
U
4,30
🔒
B
5,55
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
U2,5
2,15
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.