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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Jan Morten Tennøy
Kongsvinger
U U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Stabaek
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
18%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
59%
Both score Ø 70%
75%
65%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 10. · Stabaek 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 18 13 5 0 +32 44
2 Start 17 10 4 3 +17 34
3 Aalesund 17 7 8 2 +6 29
4 Sogndal 17 7 4 6 +3 25
5 Lyn 17 7 3 7 +7 24
6 Egersund 16 7 3 6 -2 24
7 Ranheim 16 7 3 6 -2 24
8 Odd 17 6 4 7 -1 22
9 hodd 17 6 4 7 -6 22
10 Kongsvinger 16 5 6 5 +4 21
11 Moss 17 6 3 8 -9 21
12 Raufoss 17 4 8 5 +0 20
13 Asane 17 4 5 8 -8 17
14 Stabaek 17 3 6 8 -10 15
15 Mjondalen 17 3 5 9 -20 14
16 Skeid 17 1 7 9 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Stabaek
1–0 N. Williams
F. Christensen
28′
31′
🟨 M. Hellan
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 W. Wendt
↦ A. Matic
2–0 N. Williams
L. Langrekken
50′
60′
🔁 D. Afrim
↦ H. Geelmuyden
L. Haren 🟨
65′
66′
M. Lankhof-Dahlby 2–1
A. Andresen
M. Gjerstrom 🔁
↦ J. Grundt
68′
70′
🔁 A. Bawa
↦ K. Onsrud
F. Christensen 🟨
74′
M. Vinjor 🔁
↦ N. Williams
75′
89′
🔁 J. Nysveen
↦ M. Hellan
89′
🔁 K. Ekorness
↦ A. Andresen
H. Holter 🔁
↦ F. Christensen
91′
A. Sandstad 🔁
↦ L. Langrekken
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

93 A. Gorodovoy
2 J. Nilsson
19 E. Nielsen
14 F. Christensen
21 D. Lysgard
29 S. Norheim
8 J. Grundt
27 A. Dybevik
22 L. Langrekken
9 L. Haren
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
71 S. Ekerhaugen
3 P. Fjellman
6 H. Holter
12 M. Mbow
13 M. Flores
17 M. Gjerstrom
20 A. Sandstad
23 M. Vinjor
28 R. Christiansen

Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
20 A. Andresen
13 M. Hellan
15 O. Veum
4 N. Naess
27 E. Danso
21 K. Onsrud
6 A. Matic
10 H. Geelmuyden
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
17 S. Olderheim
Bench (8)
41 K. Lokkevik
2 K. Pedersen
14 M. Nielsen
18 A. Bawa
23 W. Wendt
25 D. Afrim
26 J. Nysveen
29 K. Ekorness

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.