OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Stabaek
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | +32 | 44 |
| 2 |
Start
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +17 | 34 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 |
Lyn
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 |
Ranheim
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 |
Odd
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 |
hodd
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 22 |
| 10 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 11 |
Moss
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 12 |
Raufoss
|
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +0 | 20 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Nilsson
J. Grundt
L. Haren
N. Williams
Coach: Johan Peter Wennberg
M. Sjoeng
A. Andresen
M. Hellan
Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Raufoss
Kongsvinger
Aalesund
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Start
Mjondalen
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.