Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wisla Plock
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +4.8 | 9 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.1 | 6 |
| 4 |
Radomiak Radom
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | -0.1 | 4 |
| 5 |
Nieciecza
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | +0.7 | 3 |
| 6 |
Legia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Widzew Lodz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.9 | 3 |
| 8 |
Rakow
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +1.1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.4 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lech Poznan
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +1.9 | 3 |
| 11 |
Motor Lublin
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 12 |
Jagiellonia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -2.4 | 3 |
| 13 |
Zaglebie
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +0.1 | 2 |
| 14 |
GKS Katowice
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -3.0 | 1 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 | 1 |
| 16 |
Korona Kielce
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -3.4 | 1 |
| 17 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Piast Gliwice
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Fassbender
F
Coach: Marcin Brosz
L. Wahlqvist
D
F. Ulvestad
M
P. Mukairu
M
A. Przyborek
M
K. Grosicki
M
P. Paryzek
F
Coach: Thomas Thomasberg
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cracovia
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Nieciecza
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Nieciecza
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.