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FA Cup

South Park

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Newhaven

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

South Park Newhaven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roman Glass St George	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Bootle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sutton Coldfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wokingham Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Pickering Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belper United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hartley Wintney	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guernsey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bedfont Sports	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Enfield 1893	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wormley Rovers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brislington	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Penrith AFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Uttoxeter Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hamworthy Recreation	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Stone Old Alleynians	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	1874 Northwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Nailsea & Tickenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roman Glass St George	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Bootle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Wokingham Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Pickering Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Belper United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guernsey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Enfield 1893	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hamworthy Recreation	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Stone Old Alleynians	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sutton Coldfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hartley Wintney	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bedfont Sports	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Wormley Rovers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Brislington	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Penrith AFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Uttoxeter Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	1874 Northwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
9	Nailsea & Tickenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.