Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Leighton Town
Benfleet
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roman Glass St George
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bootle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Wokingham Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pickering Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Belper United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hartley Wintney
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Guernsey
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Bedfont Sports
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Enfield 1893
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Wormley Rovers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Brislington
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Penrith AFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Uttoxeter Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Hamworthy Recreation
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Stone Old Alleynians
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
1874 Northwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nailsea & Tickenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leighton Town
Waltham Abbey
Clacton
Leighton Town
Leighton Town
Cambridge City
Leighton Town
Enfield 1893
Leighton Town
Basildon United
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.