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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

4–4

Full-time

Nieciecza

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kotwica Kołobrzeg Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Garbarnia Kraków	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Stal Brzeg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Carina Gubin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Legia Warszawa II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Stal Brzeg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Carina Gubin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Legia Warszawa II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Aug CUP 3 years ago

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,0 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

Recent matches

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