Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rusthall
Westfield (Surrey)
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roman Glass St George
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bootle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Wokingham Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pickering Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Belper United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hartley Wintney
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Guernsey
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Bedfont Sports
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Enfield 1893
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Wormley Rovers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Brislington
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Penrith AFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Uttoxeter Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Hamworthy Recreation
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Stone Old Alleynians
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
1874 Northwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nailsea & Tickenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rusthall
Punjab United
Rusthall
Sheerwater
Sheerwater
Rusthall
Lancing
Rusthall
Phoenix Sports
Rusthall
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.