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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
6–4
Full-time
Norrkoping
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–4

1,52 xG 1,98
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 10. · Norrkoping 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 18 13 4 1 +21 +3.6 43
2 Hammarby 18 12 3 3 +18 +12.5 39
3 Malmo FF 18 9 6 3 +14 +10.5 33
4 AIK 18 9 6 3 +8 +3.5 33
5 Elfsborg 17 10 2 5 +9 +2.4 32
6 GAIS 17 8 7 2 +14 +7.2 31
7 Djurgarden 17 7 4 6 +3 +4.4 25
8 Goteborg 17 8 1 8 -2 +1.7 25
9 Hacken 17 6 4 7 -6 +0.8 22
10 Brommapojkarna 17 6 1 10 -2 +0.0 19
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -4 -10.8 19
12 Halmstad 17 5 2 10 -20 -10.8 17
13 Degerfors 17 4 2 11 -18 -1.3 14
14 Sirius 17 3 4 10 -8 -5.7 13
15 Oster 17 3 4 10 -11 -9.3 13
16 Varnamo 17 1 4 12 -16 -8.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Norrkoping
5′
D. Karlsson 0–1
7′
D. Karlsson 0–2
C. Nyman
1–2 V. Lind
A. Jakobsen
10′
16′
A. Traustason 1–3
36′
I. Sigurgeirsson 1–4
D. Karlsson
2–4 V. Lind
K. Barslund
45′
3–4 A. Jakobsen
L. Arrhov
45′
Half-time 3–4
C. Nilden 🔁
↦ E. Alladoh
46′
R. Orqvist 🔁
↦ L. Arrhov
52′
65′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ D. Karlsson
W. Odefalk 🔁
↦ K. Barslund
66′
4–4 W. Odefalk
71′
Oliver Zandén 🟨
73′
5–4 A. Jakobsen
O. Zanden
76′
80′
🔁 M. Baggesen
↦ M. Neffati
80′
🔁 A. Andersson
↦ A. Fransson
6–4 V. Lind
W. Odefalk
84′
87′
🔁 J. Arnarsson
↦ K. Jansson
Kevin Ackermann 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Arnór Traustason
I. Ssewankambo 🔁
↦ V. Lind
93′
95′
🟨 Max Watson
Charlie Nilden 🟨
96′
Full-time 6–4

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
40 L. Cavallius G
21 A. Timossi D
3 E. Hovland D
4 E. Bjorkander
6 O. Zanden D
24 K. Ackermann M
27 K. Barslund M
31 L. Arrhov M
16 A. Jakobsen M
7 V. Lind M
23 E. Alladoh F
Bench (9)
25 D. Blazevic
2 H. Karlsson
10 W. Odefalk
11 R. Orqvist
12 C. Nilden
17 A. Kurochkin
28 I. Ssewankambo
32 O. Cotton
39 N. Bahoui

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Norrkoping

4-2-3-1
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
24 A. Eriksson D
19 M. Watson D
25 K. Jansson D
11 I. Lushaku M
7 A. Fransson M
10 D. Karlsson M
9 A. Traustason M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
3 M. Baggesen
18 J. Arnarsson
20 A. Bronner
22 T. Prica
28 A. Andersson
31 J. Lindvall
33 F. Werner
36 M. Rawufu

Coach: Martin Falk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.