Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Witham Town
Frenford
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roman Glass St George
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bootle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Wokingham Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pickering Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Belper United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hartley Wintney
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Guernsey
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Bedfont Sports
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Enfield 1893
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Wormley Rovers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Brislington
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Penrith AFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Uttoxeter Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Hamworthy Recreation
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Stone Old Alleynians
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
1874 Northwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nailsea & Tickenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Witham Town
Haringey Borough
Haringey Borough
Witham Town
Witham Town
Sheringham
Grays Athletic
Witham Town
Witham Town
Hertford Town
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.