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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Jagiellonia
U T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Puszcza
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,55 xG 1,69
68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Dec -23 Puszcza – Jagiellonia 3–3 29. Jul -23 Jagiellonia – Puszcza 4–1

Match report

Jagiellonia Puszcza
41′
🟨 Dawid Abramowicz
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Lee Jin-Hyun
↦ M. Walski
46′
🔁 K. Stępień
↦ D. Szymonowicz
Mateusz Skrzypczak 🟨
55′
59′
ℹ️ Mateusz Radecki
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Nené 🔁
↦ J. Kubicki
62′
João Moutinho 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
62′
Miki Villar 🔁
↦ A. Nguiamba
71′
76′
🟨 Artur Crăciun
1–0 Nené ⚽
Miki Villar
78′
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
81′
81′
🔁 H. Tomalski
↦ M. Sipľak
81′
🔁 L. Klisiewicz
↦ M. Radecki
83′
🟨 Konrad Stępień
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 🟨
87′
92′
🔁 J. Blagaić
↦ J. Serafin
Sławomir Abramowicz 🟨
95′
2–0 L. Diaby-Fadiga ⚽
Adrián Diéguez
98′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
39 A. Nguiamba D
6 T. Romanczuk M
14 J. Kubicki M
7 D. Marczuk M
11 Jesús Imaz M
99 K. Hansen M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (9)
8 Nené
44 João Moutinho
20 Miki Villar
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
3 D. Stojinović
1 M. Stryjek
77 W. Łaski
36 J. Lewicki
4 J. Haliti

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
67 I. Revenco D
22 A. Crăciun D
3 R. Yakuba D
18 M. Sipľak D
4 D. Szymonowicz M
14 J. Serafin M
11 M. Cholewiak M
16 M. Walski M
33 D. Abramowicz M
17 M. Radecki F
Bench (9)
6 Lee Jin-Hyun
5 K. Stępień
10 H. Tomalski
21 L. Klisiewicz
24 J. Blagaić
23 P. Kieliś
31 M. Perchel
27 Ł. Sołowiej
70 W. Hajda

Coach: T. Tułacz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Kos · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.