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Conference League
Referee: J Frischer
Legia
T S S S S
6–0
Full-time
Caernarfon Town
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Caernarfon Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Legia Caernarfon Town
1–0 Marc Gual ⚽
22′
33′
🟨 Paulo Mendes
1–1 S. McMullan ⚽
own goal
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Marc Gual ⚽
48′
3–1 Marc Gual ⚽
53′
55′
🔁 J. Faux
↦ R. Sears
55′
🔁 A. Davies
↦ D. Thomas
M. Szczepaniak 🔁
↦ Luquinhas
56′
K. Chodyna 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
64′
I. Strzałek 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
64′
67′
🟨 Phil Mooney
Blaž Kramer ❌
penalty missed
68′
68′
🔁 M. Hill
↦ Z. Clarke
4–1 B. Kramer ⚽
71′
J. Majchrzak 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
72′
T. Pekhart 🔁
↦ B. Kramer
72′
78′
🔁 M. Williams
↦ L. Lloyd
78′
🔁 S. Downey
↦ Paulo Mendes
5–1 Claude Gonçalves ⚽
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-5-2
1 K. Tobiasz G
8 R. Augustyniak D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 P. Wszołek M
67 B. Kapustka M
5 Claude Gonçalves M
82 Luquinhas M
25 R. Morishita M
28 Marc Gual F
9 B. Kramer F
Bench (11)
71 M. Szczepaniak
11 K. Chodyna
86 I. Strzałek
99 J. Majchrzak
7 T. Pekhart
42 Sergio Barcia
19 Rúben Vinagre
21 J. Çelhaka
27 G. Kobylak
24 J. Ziółkowski
80 J. Adkonis

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Caernarfon Town

5-4-1
1 S. McMullan G
2 M. Owen M
4 G. Williams D
27 R. Sears M
5 P. Mooney D
3 M. Jones M
8 D. Gosset M
10 D. Thomas M
18 Paulo Mendes M
20 L. Lloyd M
7 Z. Clarke F
Bench (8)
21 J. Faux
9 A. Davies
15 M. Hill
14 M. Williams
17 S. Downey
31 T. Pritchard
16 O. Evans
13 H. Thomas

Coach: R. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.