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Conference League
Referee: I Kristjánsson
Caernarfon Town
S T T
0–5
Full-time
Legia
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caernarfon Town Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
3,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
1,0
6,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
4 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 7
19 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Legia – Caernarfon Town 6–0

Match report

Caernarfon Town Legia
John Gruffydd 🟨
15′
Paulo Mendes 🟨
26′
43′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ B. Kapustka 0–1
Ryan Sears 🟨
48′
48′
⚽ A. Jędrzejczyk 0–2
54′
⚽ T. Pekhart 0–3
A. Davies 🔁
↦ Z. Clarke
55′
M. Williams 🔁
↦ D. Thomas
55′
57′
🔁 J. Ziółkowski
↦ R. Pankov
57′
🔁 J. Nsamé
↦ T. Pekhart
57′
🔁 J. Adkonis
↦ J. Çelhaka
57′
🔁 W. Urbański
↦ B. Kapustka
S. Downey 🔁
↦ Paulo Mendes
61′
M. Hill 🔁
↦ J. Faux
61′
72′
⚽ J. Nsamé 0–4
O. Evans 🔁
↦ M. Jones
74′
74′
🔁 J. Żewłakow
↦ J. Majchrzak
83′
⚽ Sergio Barcia 0–5
Ryan Sears 🟨
86′
Ryan Sears 🟥
86′
Morgan Owen 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Caernarfon Town

4-4-1-1
1 S. McMullan G
2 M. Owen M
27 R. Sears M
4 G. Williams D
3 M. Jones M
21 J. Faux M
18 Paulo Mendes M
8 D. Gosset M
20 L. Lloyd M
10 D. Thomas M
7 Z. Clarke F
Bench (7)
9 A. Davies
14 M. Williams
17 S. Downey
15 M. Hill
16 O. Evans
30 T. Pritchard
13 H. Thomas

Coach: R. Davies

Legia

3-5-2
27 G. Kobylak G
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
42 Sergio Barcia D
11 K. Chodyna M
67 B. Kapustka M
21 J. Çelhaka M
25 R. Morishita M
23 P. Kun M
99 J. Majchrzak F
7 T. Pekhart F
Bench (10)
24 J. Ziółkowski
77 J. Nsamé
80 J. Adkonis
53 W. Urbański
20 J. Żewłakow
50 W. Banasik
86 I. Strzałek
56 J. Leszczyński
71 M. Szczepaniak
1 K. Tobiasz

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.