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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Hannover
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
70%
61%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
65%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 5. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 24 13 9 2 +19 48
2 Holstein Kiel 24 13 4 7 +12 43
3 Hamburg 23 12 5 6 +13 41
4 Greuther Furth 23 11 5 7 +7 38
5 Hannover 23 10 7 6 +12 37
6 Paderborn 23 11 4 8 -2 37
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 23 10 6 7 +16 36
8 Hertha 24 9 7 8 +6 34
9 Karlsruhe 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Elversberg 23 9 5 9 -2 32
11 Magdeburg 23 8 6 9 +5 30
12 Nurnberg 23 8 6 9 -10 30
13 Schalke 04 24 9 2 13 -9 29
14 Wehen 23 7 6 10 -4 27
15 Braunschweig 23 7 3 13 -13 24
16 Kaiserslautern 23 6 4 13 -13 22
17 Hansa Rostock 23 6 4 13 -16 22
18 Osnabruck 23 2 9 12 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Fortuna Dusseldorf
11′
C. Tzolis 0–1
N. Gavory
18′
C. Tzolis 0–2
A. Tanaka
Half-time 0–2
Max Christiansen 🟨
49′
Bright Arrey-Mbi 🟨
57′
K. Oudenne 🔁
↦ S. Ernst
59′
A. Voglsammer 🔁
↦ M. Christiansen
59′
1–2 A. Voglsammer
63′
73′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ F. Klaus
73′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ C. Daferner
Marcel Halstenberg 🟨
75′
C. Teuchert 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
80′
84′
🔁 T. Oberdorf
↦ J. de Wijs
2–2 C. Teuchert
86′
L. Gindorf 🔁
↦ E. Leopold
87′
Lars Gindorf 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hannover

4-3-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
20 J. Dehm D
5 P. Neumann D
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
8 E. Leopold M
13 M. Christiansen M
10 S. Ernst M
11 L. Schaub M
16 H. Nielsen F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
29 K. Oudenne
32 A. Voglsammer
36 C. Teuchert
25 L. Gindorf
28 M. Ndikom
30 L. Weinkauf
31 J. Börner
24 A. Fóti
34 Y. Lührs

Coach: S. Leitl

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-5-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
5 J. Quarshie D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
11 F. Klaus M
4 A. Tanaka M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
7 C. Tzolis M
22 C. Daferner F
Bench (8)
18 J. Niemiec
9 V. Vermeij
15 T. Oberdorf
36 M. Mustapha
1 K. Niemczycki
27 D. Jastrzembski
43 K. Manu
2 T. Uchino

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,51
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.